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麻將為何莊家總是贏?

麻將為何莊家總是贏?

我曾以為麻將只是傳統技藝——直到用12,000手進行蒙地卡羅模擬,才發現莊家優勢不在牌面,而在數學中。作為加州出生、受愛爾蘭實用主義塑造的數據科學家,我不信運氣,只信轉移機率與條件抽樣。每副「清一色」或「七對」都不是魔法,而是馬可夫鏈與可見報酬分佈。莊家不作弊,它只是優化熵:每張棄牌都縮小你的變異性。當你追「十三么九」時,你不是賭博——你在執行隨機最佳化迴圈,具負期望值。

CosmicRoller

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熱門評論 (2)

VikingLuxeChron

So the house doesn’t cheat… it just mathematically outsmarts you like a Norse god with an Excel spreadsheet. You think it’s luck? Nah — it’s entropy wearing a tuxedo and whispering “I told you, variance decreases with every discard.” Free spins? More like GDP in disguise. Next time you see “Thirteen Orphans,” run away… or just download the win-loss matrix. #MahjongIsNotGambling #DataDragonRises

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Lumáng Bayán #07

Ang bahay ay ‘laging panalo’? Oo naman! Hindi dahil sa palaka—kundi dahil sa math na mas matalino kaysa sa ‘hula-hula’. Alam mo bang may Monte Carlo na nagpapalabas ng odds habang ikaw ay naghihintay ng ‘Thirteen Orphans’? Hayaan mo lang… ang iyong puso’t utak ay nagsisipag-ibig sa spin na walang jackpot—pero may data-driven love. Bawat tile? May algorithm. Bawat win? May model accuracy. Anong gagawin mo next? Huwag maglaro… kundi mag-analyze. Sana makita mo ang sarili mong win-loss matrix sa Reddit! 😅

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麻將樂園